Forward Madison 1-0 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.16/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.40
-49% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
16.7 Crosses 14.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forward Madison
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
316 Passes 323
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
04.07.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-1 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
14.04.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-2 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
15.09.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
06.08.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
18.06.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
1-0
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.58 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
411 Passes 261
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison nicked a narrow win over Richmond Kickers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forward Madison as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Forward Madison had 60% of the ball to Richmond Kickers's 40%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.58 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Forward Madison and 1.00 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

Forward Madison 1-0 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 47%, draw 25%, Richmond Kickers 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forward Madison), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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