Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 31%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.53/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.42
+11% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.6 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.38
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
387 Passes 139
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
12 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-1 HT 2-1 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
1-1
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
0.71 xG 1.34
66% Ball Possession 34%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 Passes 160
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Hearts of Pine and Chattanooga Red Wolves couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portland Hearts of Pine at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portland Hearts of Pine had 66% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 34%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.71 to 1.34.

What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 45%, draw 28%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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