Texoma 3-3 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
55%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.95
Over 2.5
36%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.73
No
60%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
33%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
56%
Away Win
52%
+3.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
48%
+16.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
52%
-16.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
54%
-13.8pp
60%
BTTS No
46%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Texoma EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -66% / -66%
0.88/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/2.05
+0% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -88% / -66%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
13.2 Crosses 24.0
3.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Texoma
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.56 xG 1.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
246 Passes 400
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 1-1 HT 1-0 Texoma USL1
14.04.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 4-1 HT 1-0 Texoma USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Texoma
3-3
AWAY Spokane Velocity
0.81 xG 3.21
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
250 Passes 414
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Texoma vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Texoma and Spokane Velocity couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Spokane Velocity carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Texoma had 40% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 60%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.81 to 3.21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Spokane Velocity led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Texoma and 2.50 for Spokane Velocity.

What was the final score of Texoma vs Spokane Velocity?

Texoma 3-3 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Texoma vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Texoma 20%, draw 25%, Spokane Velocity 56%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USL1 More USA - USL League 1
14 Sep 2025
01:00 Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves Analysis →
02:00 Greenville Triumph vs Tormenta Analysis →
02:00 Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers Analysis →
02:00 Westchester SC vs Union Omaha Analysis →
05:30 Alta vs One Knoxville Analysis →