Richmond Kickers 1-2 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -9%
1.20/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.25
-11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.4 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.72 xG 1.35
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
324 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-1 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
14.04.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-2 HT 1-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
15.09.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 2-0 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
06.08.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
18.06.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
09.10.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
1-2
AWAY Forward Madison
1.33 xG 1.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 7
306 Passes 189
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
14 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison squeezed past Richmond Kickers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Richmond Kickers at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 59% of the ball to Forward Madison's 41%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.33 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.33 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

Richmond Kickers 1-2 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Richmond Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 42%, draw 26%, Forward Madison 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Richmond Kickers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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