One Knoxville 1-0 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.26/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.46
-10% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.0 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 378
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.04.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-1 HT 0-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
03.04.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-3 HT 0-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville ABDK
02.11.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-1 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
28.07.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
23.06.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-2 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
04.04.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 2-3 HT 1-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-0
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.08 xG 0.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
282 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville edged past Greenville Triumph 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, One Knoxville had 48% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 52%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.08 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for One Knoxville and 1.33 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?

One Knoxville 1-0 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 47%, draw 26%, Greenville Triumph 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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