Union Omaha 2-2 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.3pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.85/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.96
+16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.4 Crosses 14.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.11 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
383 Passes 278
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 16
34 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2025 Union Omaha Union Omaha 2-2 HT 0-1 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
03.08.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 2-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
17.11.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-0 HT 2-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
02.10.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-0 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
05.09.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
2-2
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.04 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
452 Passes 267
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha and Spokane Velocity couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Union Omaha at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Union Omaha had 61% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 39%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.04 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Union Omaha and 1.20 for Spokane Velocity.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity?

Union Omaha 2-2 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 59%, draw 21%, Spokane Velocity 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Omaha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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