Spokane Velocity 2-1 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 37%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -7%
1.17/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.07
-45% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.7 Crosses 20.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spokane Velocity
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Union Omaha
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.81 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
326 Passes 337
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-0 HT 2-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
02.10.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-0 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
05.09.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
2-1
AWAY Union Omaha
2.26 xG 2.06
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
216 Passes 434
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spokane Velocity squeezed past Union Omaha 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Spokane Velocity found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 35% of the ball to Union Omaha's 65%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.26 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Spokane Velocity and 2.67 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Union Omaha?

Spokane Velocity 2-1 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 35%, draw 27%, Union Omaha 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Omaha), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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