One Knoxville 1-0 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.34/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.06
-4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
17.7 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.68 xG 1.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
261 Passes 258
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 HT 1-1 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-0
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
0.72 xG 0.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
228 Passes 184
69% Pass Accuracy 63%
24 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville edged past Portland Hearts of Pine 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, One Knoxville had 53% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 47%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.72 to 0.27.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

One Knoxville 1-0 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 42%, draw 24%, Portland Hearts of Pine 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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