Richmond Kickers 1-2 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 42%
-9% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -58% / -58%
1.29/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/1.74
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -58%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 80%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.8 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naples
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.44 xG 2.08
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
293 Passes 241
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
10 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 5
13.04.2025 Naples 2-1 HT 2-1 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
1-2
AWAY Naples
0.69 xG 2.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
324 Passes 245
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples edged past Richmond Kickers 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Naples made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 57% of the ball to Naples's 43%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.69 to 2.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Naples's control.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Naples?

Richmond Kickers 1-2 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 33%, draw 30%, Naples 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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