Union Omaha 3-0 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.83/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.61
+1% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
21.6 Crosses 15.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.67 xG 1.19
55% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
383 Passes 297
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
02.10.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-0 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
05.09.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
3-0
AWAY Spokane Velocity
1.37 xG 0.04
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 2
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 5
245 Passes 385
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha cruised past Spokane Velocity 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Union Omaha had 42% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 58%, shots finished 20-2, expected goals 1.37 to 0.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Union Omaha and 1.00 for Spokane Velocity.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity?

Union Omaha 3-0 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 49%, draw 24%, Spokane Velocity 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ BTTS No
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