Union Omaha 2-2 Spokane Velocity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.53/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.28
+30% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
20.3 Crosses 23.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Omaha
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Spokane Velocity
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
361 Passes 299
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2025 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 2-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
17.11.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-0 HT 2-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
02.10.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 4-0 HT 1-0 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity USL1
05.09.2024 Spokane Velocity Spokane Velocity 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
2-2
AWAY Spokane Velocity
3.77 xG 1.37
68% Ball Possession 32%
28 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 0
468 Passes 193
86% Pass Accuracy 68%
55 Box Touches 9
58 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha and Spokane Velocity couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Union Omaha at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Union Omaha had 68% of the ball to Spokane Velocity's 32%, shots finished 28-8, expected goals 3.77 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Union Omaha and 1.00 for Spokane Velocity.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity?

Union Omaha 2-2 Spokane Velocity in the USA - USL League 1 on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Spokane Velocity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 49%, draw 27%, Spokane Velocity 25%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Omaha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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