Richmond Kickers 2-5 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 18 Sep 2025

Richmond Kickers
2-5 HT 1-2
Portland Hearts of Pine
📅18/09/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Richmond Kickers v Portland Hearts of Pine — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.33/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.58
-3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.3 Crosses 15.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0

Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.29 xG 0.65
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
155 Passes 486
59% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.08.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine 0-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1

Richmond Kickers 2-5 Portland Hearts of Pine — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
2-5
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
0.87 xG 3.60
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 7
438 Passes 205
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 33
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Hearts of Pine swept aside Richmond Kickers 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Portland Hearts of Pine found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 64% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 36%, shots finished 14-19, expected goals 0.87 to 3.60.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Richmond Kickers 2-5 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 35%, draw 27%, Portland Hearts of Pine 39%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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