Portland Hearts of Pine 2-2 Alta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 26 Oct 2025

Portland Hearts of Pine
2-2 HT 1-1
Alta
📅26/10/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Alta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portland Hearts of Pine v Alta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Alta EU Bookmakers 29%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.61/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.60
-50% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.4 Crosses 9.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Portland Hearts of Pine vs Alta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Alta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.55 xG 0.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
292 Passes 350
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.07.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine 0-2 HT 0-1 Alta Alta USL1
22.06.2025 Alta Alta 1-1 HT 1-0 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1

Portland Hearts of Pine 2-2 Alta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
2-2
AWAY Alta
2.09 xG 0.58
51% Ball Possession 49%
25 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
360 Passes 345
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 25
29 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portland Hearts of Pine vs Alta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Hearts of Pine and Alta shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portland Hearts of Pine at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Portland Hearts of Pine had 51% of the ball to Alta's 49%, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 2.09 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alta led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.50 for Alta.

What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Alta?

Portland Hearts of Pine 2-2 Alta in the USA - USL League 1 on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Alta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 49%, draw 30%, Alta 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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