Alta 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 22 Jun 2025

Alta
1-1 HT 1-0
Portland Hearts of Pine
📅22/06/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Alta vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alta v Portland Hearts of Pine — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 32%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
2.02/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.38
+32% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
11.0 Crosses 25.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Alta 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
1-1
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
0.61 xG 2.54
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
314 Passes 260
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alta vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta and Portland Hearts of Pine couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alta at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alta had 53% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.61 to 2.54.

What was the final score of Alta vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Alta 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alta 42%, draw 27%, Portland Hearts of Pine 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alta), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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