Greenville Triumph 3-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.33/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.54
-20% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.5 Crosses 18.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.15 xG 1.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
326 Passes 246
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-0 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
15.09.2024 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-5 HT 1-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
02.06.2024 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-3 HT 1-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
08.10.2023 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 2-2 HT 2-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
24.08.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-1 HT 2-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
22.06.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 5-1 HT 3-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
3-1
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.53 xG 0.53
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
307 Passes 112
80% Pass Accuracy 56%
29 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph saw off Chattanooga Red Wolves 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 66% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 34%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.53 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.67 for Chattanooga Red Wolves.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Greenville Triumph 3-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 48%, draw 27%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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