Tuggeranong United 1-2 O Connor Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL Başkent, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
52%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.74
Over 2.5
66%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
52%
Away Win
62%
-10.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
33%
+1.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
67%
-1.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuggeranong United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY O Connor Knights EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuggeranong United
0W-0D-4L
AWAY O Connor Knights
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 2-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVTCT
05.08.2023 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United 0-2 HT 0-1 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights AVNPL
10.06.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 3-0 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
22.04.2023 O Connor Knights O Connor Knights 5-1 Tuggeranong United Tuggeranong United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Tuggeranong United vs O Connor Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

O Connor Knights edged past Tuggeranong United 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had O Connor Knights as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, O Connor Knights led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tuggeranong United and 3.00 for O Connor Knights.

What was the final score of Tuggeranong United vs O Connor Knights?

Tuggeranong United 1-2 O Connor Knights in the Australia - NPL Başkent on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuggeranong United vs O Connor Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an O Connor Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tuggeranong United 27%, draw 21%, O Connor Knights 52%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (O Connor Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (O Connor Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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