Aurora 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.6pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+26% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora nicked a narrow win over Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Aurora 2-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aurora 49%, draw 28%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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