The Strongest 1-0 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
25%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
71%
-21.6pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.9pp
25%
Away Win
11%
+13.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +29%
1.75/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.63
+6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
21.7 Crosses 11.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Strongest
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.27 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
288 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 The Strongest The Strongest 1-2 HT 1-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
21.04.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
10.07.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-3 HT 0-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
05.02.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
15.10.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-1 HT 1-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
1-0
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
0.47 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 0
383 Passes 330
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest nicked a narrow win over Universitario de Vinto 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, The Strongest had 53% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 47%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.47 to 0.88 — on chances, Universitario de Vinto could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, The Strongest had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for The Strongest and 1.20 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto?

The Strongest 1-0 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 49%, draw 26%, Universitario de Vinto 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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