The Strongest 1-2 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.43
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.0pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.9pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
1.29/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.45
-3% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +39%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
12.6 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Strongest
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.21
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
288 Passes 258
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
10.07.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-3 HT 0-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
05.02.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
15.10.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-1 HT 1-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
1-2
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto nicked a narrow win over The Strongest 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was The Strongest at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, The Strongest had 48% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 52%, shots finished 14-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, The Strongest had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for The Strongest and 1.00 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto?

The Strongest 1-2 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 53%, draw 27%, Universitario de Vinto 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (The Strongest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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