CRB 2-1 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 14 Jul 2024

CRB
2-1 HT 0-1
Coritiba
📅14/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

CRB vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.08
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.2
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.3pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CRB v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
1.22/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.23
+17% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.2 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

CRB vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Coritiba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.93 xG 1.25
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
344 Passes 338
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.10.2021 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
23.07.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
22.09.2019 Coritiba Coritiba 0-2 HT 0-2 CRB CRB BR2
21.05.2019 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
22.09.2018 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
06.06.2018 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2

CRB 2-1 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
2-1
AWAY Coritiba
1.44 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
371 Passes 270
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CRB vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB edged past Coritiba 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CRB as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CRB had 56% of the ball to Coritiba's 44%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.44 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CRB and 0.67 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of CRB vs Coritiba?

CRB 2-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CRB 44%, draw 31%, Coritiba 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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