Vila Nova vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vila Nova v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vila Nova 2-1 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova shaded a tight game against Avai 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 56% to 44% in Vila Nova's favour, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.79 to 1.15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Vila Nova against 0.50 for Avai.
Vila Nova vs Avai Result & Final Score
Vila Nova 2 - 1 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vila Nova vs Avai Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 48%, draw 31%, Avai 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.