FC Lahti 1-2 Oulu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.37
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.41
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
13%
6.33
X/2
12%
5.03
X/X
9%
4.56
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
22%
3.19
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.75
Value flag · 2/X at 12.75 — our 10% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Oulu EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.46/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.24
+36% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.1 Crosses 14.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Oulu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.71 xG 1.39
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
251 Passes 382
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.06.2024 Oulu Oulu 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
22.09.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
12.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
26.05.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
02.10.2022 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
04.09.2022 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
1-2
AWAY Oulu
1.07 xG 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
365 Passes 381
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 7
26 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs Oulu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu squeezed past FC Lahti 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Oulu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Lahti had 49% of the ball to Oulu's 51%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.07 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Lahti and 1.33 for Oulu.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs Oulu?

FC Lahti 1-2 Oulu in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs Oulu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 33%, draw 27%, Oulu 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
14 Jul 2024
17:00 EIF vs Inter Turku Analysis →