Oulu 2-2 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.68
6+ Goals
8%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 29% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.66
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.15
X/1
11%
4.29
X/2
8%
7.29
X/X
11%
4.77
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
16%
5.55
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -15%
1.33/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.49
+9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
287 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 68%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
15.7 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Lahti
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 2.06
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
371 Passes 258
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
12.08.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
26.05.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-2 HT 1-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
02.10.2022 Oulu Oulu 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
04.09.2022 Oulu Oulu 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
22.05.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
2-2
AWAY FC Lahti
2.30 xG 0.65
62% Ball Possession 38%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
416 Passes 230
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Oulu vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu and FC Lahti shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Oulu at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Oulu had 62% of the ball to FC Lahti's 38%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 2.30 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oulu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Oulu and 0.83 for FC Lahti.

What was the final score of Oulu vs FC Lahti?

Oulu 2-2 FC Lahti in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oulu 43%, draw 26%, FC Lahti 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oulu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
12 Jun 2024
18:00 IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Analysis →
18:00 Inter Turku vs Ilves Tampere Analysis →
18:00 SJK Seinajoki vs EIF Analysis →
18:00 KuPS Kuopio vs Haka Analysis →
19:00 Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki Analysis →