SJK Seinajoki 3-1 EIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 26% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.83
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.95
X/1
19%
3.75
X/2
7%
12.3
X/X
9%
6.51
2/1
9%
20.85
2/2
13%
9.18
2/X
8%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SJK Seinajoki EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY EIF EU Bookmakers 20%
-11% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.53/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.82
-25% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
35.6 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SJK Seinajoki
3-1
AWAY EIF
3.17 xG 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
455 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
34 Box Touches 6
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SJK Seinajoki vs EIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Seinajoki beat EIF 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SJK Seinajoki as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SJK Seinajoki had 62% of the ball to EIF's 38%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 3.17 to 0.33.

What was the final score of SJK Seinajoki vs EIF?

SJK Seinajoki 3-1 EIF in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SJK Seinajoki vs EIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a SJK Seinajoki win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SJK Seinajoki 50%, draw 24%, EIF 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SJK Seinajoki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SJK Seinajoki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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