IFK Mariehamn 0-0 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Jun 2024

IFK Mariehamn
0-0 HT 0-0
VPS
📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2024

IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.92
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
11%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 33% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.75
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
13%
7.31
X/2
17%
4.23
X/X
13%
4.49
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.69
2/X
5%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Mariehamn v VPS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 51%
-12% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.94/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.26
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
15.0 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.1

IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2W-1D-3L
AWAY VPS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.31
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
385 Passes 262
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 26
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-2 HT 1-2 VPS VPS FİN
05.05.2023 VPS VPS 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
16.10.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-2 HT 0-1 VPS VPS FİN
09.07.2022 VPS VPS 1-3 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
29.05.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-3 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN
26.05.2019 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-0 HT 1-0 VPS VPS FİN

IFK Mariehamn 0-0 VPS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
0-0
AWAY VPS
0.95 xG 0.93
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
232 Passes 502
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn and VPS played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was VPS at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 35% of the ball to VPS's 65%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.95 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.67 for VPS.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs VPS?

IFK Mariehamn 0-0 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an VPS win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 27%, draw 26%, VPS 47%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (VPS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VPS) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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