KuPS Kuopio 0-1 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 Jun 2024

📅12/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.15
Over 2.5
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.04
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
15.7
X/1
20%
3.89
X/2
7%
10.1
X/X
12%
5.97
2/1
7%
21.15
2/2
8%
7.47
2/X
4%
16.2
Value flag · 1/X at 15.7 — our 9% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.8pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.76/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.14
-7% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.0 Crosses 19.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Kuopio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Haka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 0.72
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
585 Passes 242
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
02.02.2024 Haka Haka 3-1 HT 2-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FLK
27.08.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
03.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-0 HT 2-0 Haka Haka FİN
18.02.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
05.10.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
31.07.2022 Haka Haka 2-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
0-1
AWAY Haka
2.86 xG 0.47
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
581 Passes 208
90% Pass Accuracy 79%
53 Box Touches 6
57 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka nicked a narrow win over KuPS Kuopio 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 72% of the ball to Haka's 28%, shots finished 25-7, expected goals 2.86 to 0.47 — on chances, KuPS Kuopio could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for KuPS Kuopio and 1.17 for Haka.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Haka?

KuPS Kuopio 0-1 Haka in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 54%, draw 25%, Haka 21%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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