Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Delfin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.6pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Delfin EU Bookmakers 20%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.72/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.60
+28% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 72%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
20.8 Crosses 12.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Delfin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
332 Passes 227
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
14.09.2024 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
31.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
07.03.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-5 HT 0-3 Delfin Delfin CON CSA
14.11.2023 Delfin Delfin 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
06.06.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4-0 HT 3-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-1
AWAY Delfin
0.81 xG 0.44
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
461 Passes 201
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Delfin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca and Delfin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 66% of the ball to Delfin's 34%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.81 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 0.83 for Delfin.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Delfin?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Delfin in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Delfin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 48%, draw 28%, Delfin 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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