St. Croix 1-3 RKC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.04
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
55%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.21
Over 2.5
47%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
21%
-5.7pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.4pp
55%
Away Win
57%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Croix EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC EU Bookmakers 62%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.34/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +7%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
147 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Croix
0W-1D-2L
AWAY RKC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
16.06.2025 RKC RKC 5-0 HT 0-0 St. Croix St. Croix USL2
07.07.2024 St. Croix St. Croix 0-2 RKC RKC USL2
13.07.2023 St. Croix St. Croix 2-2 RKC RKC USL2
POST-MATCH St. Croix vs RKC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC got the better of St. Croix 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had RKC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, RKC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for St. Croix and 3.00 for RKC.

What was the final score of St. Croix vs RKC?

St. Croix 1-3 RKC in the USA - USL League 2 on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Croix vs RKC?

Before kick-off our model rated an RKC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split St. Croix 16%, draw 30%, RKC 55%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RKC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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