Drita 2-3 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 14 Jul 2026

📅14/07/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
6%
23.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drita EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 32%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drita
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.07.2026 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-1 HT 1-0 Drita Drita ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drita
2-3
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
9 Total Shots 26
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Drita vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris nicked a narrow win over Drita 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Drita at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 9-26.

What was the final score of Drita vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Drita 2-3 Kauno Zalgiris in the Champions League on 14/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drita vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated a Drita win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Drita 45%, draw 27%, Kauno Zalgiris 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Drita) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Drita) ✓ BTTS Yes
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