Plymouth Argyle vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Plymouth Argyle v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals
Plymouth Argyle vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cheltenham Town
İNTK
4-2
HT 2-1
Cheltenham Town
İN1
0-1
HT 0-0
Plymouth Argyle
İN1
2-0
HT 2-0
Cheltenham Town
İN1
0-2
HT 0-1
Plymouth Argyle
İN1
Plymouth Argyle 3-0 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics
Plymouth Argyle swept aside Cheltenham Town 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Plymouth Argyle as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 70% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 30%, shots finished 32-9, expected goals 3.51 to 0.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plymouth Argyle had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 0.67 for Cheltenham Town.
What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Cheltenham Town?
Plymouth Argyle 3-0 Cheltenham Town in the England - League Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Cheltenham Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 53%, draw 23%, Cheltenham Town 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plymouth Argyle), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.