Hull City 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 14 Aug 2024

Hull City
1-2 HT 1-2
Sheffield Wednesday
📅14/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - League Cup – 2024/2025

Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.73
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 30% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.73
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.7
X/1
11%
4.69
X/2 EV+ ✗
17%
7.37
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
9%
5.17
2/X
8%
13.1
Value flag · X/2 at 7.37 — our 17% vs market 9.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS No — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-8.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.8pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hull City v Sheffield Wednesday — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hull City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 31%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.15
-35% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
296 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
– Crosses 16.0
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hull City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.01.2024 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 3-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
12.08.2023 Hull City Hull City 4-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
01.01.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
01.10.2019 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
12.01.2019 Hull City Hull City 3-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
11.08.2018 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL

Hull City 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hull City
1-2
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.45 xG 1.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
471 Passes 298
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday squeezed past Hull City 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sheffield Wednesday found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hull City had 60% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 40%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.45 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hull City and 1.00 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Hull City 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - League Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hull City 38%, draw 29%, Sheffield Wednesday 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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