Sheffield Wednesday 3-1 Hull City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Jan 2024

Sheffield Wednesday
3-1 HT 0-0
Hull City
📅01/01/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
9%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.01
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
14%
5.86
X/2
13%
5.38
X/X
13%
4.29
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
23%
3.55
2/X
6%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield Wednesday v Hull City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Hull City EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.19/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.04
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.2 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hull City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.98 xG 1.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
275 Passes 341
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Hull City Hull City 4-2 HT 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
01.01.2020 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 HT 0-0 Hull City Hull City İNCL
01.10.2019 Hull City Hull City 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
12.01.2019 Hull City Hull City 3-0 HT 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
11.08.2018 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 0-1 Hull City Hull City İNCL
14.04.2018 Hull City Hull City 0-1 HT 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL

Sheffield Wednesday 3-1 Hull City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield Wednesday
3-1
AWAY Hull City
1.23 xG 0.94
63% Ball Possession 37%
23 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
472 Passes 257
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
45 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield Wednesday saw off Hull City 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hull City at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sheffield Wednesday had 63% of the ball to Hull City's 37%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 1.23 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hull City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.67 for Hull City.

What was the final score of Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City?

Sheffield Wednesday 3-1 Hull City in the England - Championship on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield Wednesday vs Hull City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hull City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sheffield Wednesday 33%, draw 25%, Hull City 42%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hull City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNCL More England - Championship
1 Jan 2024
15:30 Sunderland vs Preston North End Analysis →
18:00 Norwich City vs Southampton Analysis →
18:00 Bristol City vs Millwall Analysis →
18:00 Swansea City vs West Bromwich Analysis →
18:00 Middlesbrough vs Coventry Analysis →
18:00 Blackburn Rovers vs Rotherham United Analysis →