Swansea City 1-0 West Bromwich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
20.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.67
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1 EV+ ✓
18%
6.17
X/2
12%
4.77
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
23%
3.25
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · X/1 at 6.17 — our 18% vs market 12.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -19%
1.17/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.18
+2% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
15.0 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swansea City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY West Bromwich
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.38 xG 1.36
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 West Bromwich West Bromwich 3-2 HT 1-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
08.05.2023 Swansea City Swansea City 3-2 HT 1-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
01.10.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 2-3 HT 0-1 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
28.02.2022 West Bromwich West Bromwich 0-2 HT 0-0 Swansea City Swansea City İNCL
20.10.2021 Swansea City Swansea City 2-1 HT 0-1 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
07.03.2020 Swansea City Swansea City 0-0 HT 0-0 West Bromwich West Bromwich İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swansea City
1-0
AWAY West Bromwich
0.67 xG 1.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
330 Passes 475
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Swansea City vs West Bromwich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swansea City edged past West Bromwich 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was West Bromwich at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Swansea City had 42% of the ball to West Bromwich's 58%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.67 to 1.90 — on chances, West Bromwich could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swansea City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Swansea City and 1.33 for West Bromwich.

What was the final score of Swansea City vs West Bromwich?

Swansea City 1-0 West Bromwich in the England - Championship on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City vs West Bromwich?

Before kick-off our model rated an West Bromwich win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Swansea City 33%, draw 26%, West Bromwich 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (West Bromwich) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (West Bromwich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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