Sunderland 2-0 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.1
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
18%
3.85
X/2
8%
9.42
X/X
16%
4.8
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
9%
7.62
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.97/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.26
-7% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
16.0 Crosses 15.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Preston North End
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.05
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 283
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 1-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
08.05.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 0-3 HT 0-0 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
01.10.2022 Sunderland Sunderland 0-0 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
17.03.2018 Sunderland Sunderland 0-2 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
30.09.2017 Preston North End Preston North End 2-2 HT 0-1 Sunderland Sunderland İNCL
06.01.2007 Preston North End Preston North End 1-0 HT 1-0 Sunderland Sunderland FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland
2-0
AWAY Preston North End
0.50 xG 0.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
377 Passes 463
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sunderland vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland saw off Preston North End 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sunderland as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sunderland had 46% of the ball to Preston North End's 54%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.50 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sunderland and 1.17 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Sunderland vs Preston North End?

Sunderland 2-0 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 48%, draw 29%, Preston North End 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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