Antigua GFC 2-1 Independiente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / +53%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Independiente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC squeezed past Independiente 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Independiente?

Antigua GFC 2-1 Independiente in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Independiente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 52%, draw 26%, Independiente 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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