Motagua 4-1 Tauro FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
60%
+0.3pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tauro FC EU Bookmakers 21%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+16% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +111%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Tauro FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2022 Tauro FC Tauro FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Motagua Motagua CONL
09.09.2022 Motagua Motagua 0-0 HT 0-0 Tauro FC Tauro FC CONL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Motagua
4-1
AWAY Tauro FC
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Motagua vs Tauro FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua ran out comfortable winners over Tauro FC 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Motagua as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Motagua had 59% of the ball to Tauro FC's 41%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Motagua and 0.00 for Tauro FC.

What was the final score of Motagua vs Tauro FC?

Motagua 4-1 Tauro FC in the CONCACAF - Central Amerika Cup on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs Tauro FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Motagua 60%, draw 18%, Tauro FC 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motagua), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Motagua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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