Hermanos Colmenarez 1-3 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 14 Aug 2024

📅14/08/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.3pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.25/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.37
+13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
19.9 Crosses 22.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 2.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
193 Passes 379
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.04.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
26.02.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-2 HT 0-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
03.07.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-1 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
13.05.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-3 HT 1-2 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
10.07.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-1 HT 1-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
15.05.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 1-2 HT 0-2 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermanos Colmenarez
1-3
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.44 xG 1.65
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 8
272 Passes 319
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 36
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hermanos Colmenarez vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metropolitanos beat Hermanos Colmenarez 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 35% — and on the day Metropolitanos made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hermanos Colmenarez had 47% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 53%, shots finished 15-21, expected goals 0.44 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hermanos Colmenarez and 1.67 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Hermanos Colmenarez vs Metropolitanos?

Hermanos Colmenarez 1-3 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 14/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermanos Colmenarez vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metropolitanos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Hermanos Colmenarez 34%, draw 32%, Metropolitanos 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metropolitanos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metropolitanos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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