Kilmarnock vs Ayr United Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Scotland - League Cup, 14 Aug 2026

Kilmarnock
vs
Ayr United
📅14/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Scotland - League Cup – 2026/2027

Kilmarnock vs Ayr United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Kilmarnock v Ayr United — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Kilmarnock vs Ayr United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ayr United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.60 xG 0.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
145 Passes 96
48% Pass Accuracy 38%
20 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
11.07.2024 Ayr United Ayr United 3-2 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock HAZ
11.03.2022 Ayr United Ayr United 1-3 HT 1-3 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKCL
09.02.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-2 HT 1-1 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
26.10.2021 Ayr United Ayr United 0-1 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKCL
02.08.2021 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
14.07.2017 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKLK
COMMENT Kilmarnock vs Ayr United
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.17 for Ayr United.

When do Kilmarnock and Ayr United play?

Kilmarnock play Ayr United in the Scotland - League Cup on 14/08/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Kilmarnock vs Ayr United?

Our model's prediction for Kilmarnock vs Ayr United is a Kilmarnock win at about 51% probability, priced 1.64 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Kilmarnock 51%, draw 26%, Ayr United 23%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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