Univ College Dublin vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Univ College Dublin v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Univ College Dublin vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Univ College Dublin 1-2 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City squeezed past Univ College Dublin 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 10-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Univ College Dublin and 3.83 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Derry City?
Univ College Dublin 1-2 Derry City in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 15%, draw 28%, Derry City 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.