Waterford 2-1 Athlone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 14 Aug 2026

📅14/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
32%
4.49
Away
16%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
44%
4-5
24%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.2pp
32%
Draw
19%
+12.7pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.0pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone The Market 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
402 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Waterford vs Athlone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford squeezed past Athlone 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Waterford as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

What was the final score of Waterford vs Athlone?

Waterford 2-1 Athlone in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford vs Athlone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waterford win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Waterford 52%, draw 32%, Athlone 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waterford), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waterford) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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