Aubagne AB 0-1 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Fransa - Ligue 3, 14 Aug 2026

Aubagne AB
0-1 HT 0-1
Bastia
📅14/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Fransa - Ligue 3 – 2026/2027

Aubagne AB vs Bastia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.71
Over
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.84
No Pick
60%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1 ✓
33%
2.7
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
18%
3.93
6+
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.7 — our 33% vs market 29.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.5
1/2
4%
27.5
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
18%
7.09
X/2
14%
4.72
X/X
13%
4.25
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.94
2/X
6%
13.3
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Aubagne AB v Bastia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubagne AB The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia The Market 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
REVIEW Aubagne AB vs Bastia
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bastia squeezed past Aubagne AB 1-0 away from home.

We leaned Aubagne AB at 41% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Credit where due: the 3.29 on offer implied only 30%, and the market's caution proved the wiser read. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came home.

Aubagne AB vs Bastia Result & Final Score

Aubagne AB 0-1 Bastia in the Fransa - Ligue 3 on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Aubagne AB vs Bastia Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubagne AB win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aubagne AB 41%, draw 25%, Bastia 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aubagne AB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubagne AB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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