Portugalete vs Barakaldo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portugalete v Barakaldo — Team-Based Signals
Portugalete vs Barakaldo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Portugalete 2-0 Barakaldo — Actual Match Statistics
Portugalete beat Barakaldo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Barakaldo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 13-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Portugalete had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Portugalete and 0.00 for Barakaldo.
What was the final score of Portugalete vs Barakaldo?
Portugalete 2-0 Barakaldo in the Friendlies on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portugalete vs Barakaldo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portugalete 30%, draw 27%, Barakaldo 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barakaldo) went the other way.