Atalanta 1-0 Athletic Bilbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 14 Aug 2026

📅14/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.23
Over Pick
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.46
2-3
36%
1.89
4-5
28%
2.81
6+
11%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.86
1/2
9%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.1
X/1
12%
5.29
X/2
13%
7.21
X/X
11%
5.41
2/1
8%
22.5
2/2
17%
4.64
2/X
8%
12.65
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.7pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao The Market 33%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.92/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.52
+20% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
567 Passes 192
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
21.01.2026 Atalanta Atalanta 2-3 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao ŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
1-0
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
8 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta nicked a narrow win over Athletic Bilbao 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Atalanta made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao?

Atalanta 1-0 Athletic Bilbao in the Friendlies on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 38%, draw 24%, Athletic Bilbao 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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