Atalanta 2-3 Athletic Bilbao — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Champions League, 21 Jan 2026

Atalanta Elo 1908 · World #44 (clubs) LWWWD→
2 - 3 HT 1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao Elo 1838 · World #75 (clubs) LDLDL→
📅21/01/2026 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Champions League – 2025/2026

Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 13:21
Match Result
HomeVIEW
58%
1.65
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
17%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.8
Total Goals
0-1
28%
3.0
2-3
46%
1.77
4-5
21%
3.76
6+
5%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.23
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.6
X/1
20%
4.2
X/2
7%
9.82
X/X
15%
4.81
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
9%
8.18
2/X
5%
16.4
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Atalanta v Athletic Bilbao — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atalanta The Market 61%
Signal
AWAY Athletic Bilbao The Market 22%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.67 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.88
0.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.79
Strong Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Bad
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
42 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2

Atalanta 2-3 Athletic Bilbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta
2 - 3
AWAY Athletic Bilbao
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
567 Passes 192
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
REVIEW Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Athletic Bilbao shaded a tight game against Atalanta 3-2 away from home. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Atalanta at 58% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 50%.

By the numbers, Atalanta had 70% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao's 30%, shots finished 14-4.

Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao Result & Final Score

Atalanta 2 - 3 Athletic Bilbao in the Champions League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atalanta vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 58%, draw 25%, Athletic Bilbao 17%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Under 2.5
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