Juventus vs Benfica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Juventus v Benfica — Team-Based Signals
Juventus vs Benfica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Juventus 2-0 Benfica — Actual Match Statistics
Juventus beat Benfica 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Juventus had 46% of the ball to Benfica's 54%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.38 to 1.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventus and 1.83 for Benfica.
What was the final score of Juventus vs Benfica?
Juventus 2-0 Benfica in the Champions League on 21/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Juventus vs Benfica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Juventus 57%, draw 25%, Benfica 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.