Juventus 0-2 Benfica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.74
Over 2.5
54%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.88
6+ Goals
14%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
13%
4.97
X/2
16%
6.76
X/X
12%
4.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
28.0
2/2
11%
5.03
2/X
6%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.6pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
0.70/2.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.41
-68% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -28%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 83%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
19.5 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Benfica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 2.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
391 Passes 350
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2022 Benfica Benfica 4-3 HT 3-1 Juventus Juventus ŞMP
14.09.2022 Juventus Juventus 1-2 HT 1-1 Benfica Benfica ŞMP
28.07.2018 Benfica Benfica 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus HAZ
01.05.2014 Juventus Juventus 0-0 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica AVL
24.04.2014 Benfica Benfica 2-1 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus AVL
06.08.2005 Benfica Benfica 0-2 HT 0-2 Juventus Juventus HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
0-2
AWAY Benfica
0.95 xG 2.18
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
556 Passes 236
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 25
36 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Benfica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica beat Juventus 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventus had 67% of the ball to Benfica's 33%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 0.95 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Juventus and 1.50 for Benfica.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Benfica?

Juventus 0-2 Benfica in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Benfica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Juventus 41%, draw 25%, Benfica 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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