Stuttgart 1-4 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 29 Jan 2025

Stuttgart
1-4 HT 0-3
PSG
📅29/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Stuttgart vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.86
Over 2.5
29%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
1.61
No
67%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.44
2-3 Goals
49%
1.77
4-5 Goals
10%
3.27
6+ Goals
5%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 36% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.4
1/2
3%
28.0
1/X
11%
10.35
X/1
10%
8.22
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
5.91
X/X
15%
3.87
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.07
2/X
4%
9.59
Value flag · X/2 at 5.91 — our 21% vs market 12.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
33%
-2.6pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.2pp
71%
Under 2.5
50%
+21.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
50%
-21.3pp
33%
BTTS Yes
58%
-25.1pp
67%
BTTS No
42%
+25.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stuttgart v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -23%
1.63/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.71
+43% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
223 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
– Crosses 13.3
– Yellow Cards 3.5

Stuttgart 1-4 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart
1-4
AWAY PSG
0.77 xG 2.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
347 Passes 533
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
33 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stuttgart vs PSG
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG ran out comfortable winners over Stuttgart 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stuttgart had 42% of the ball to PSG's 58%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.77 to 2.41.

What was the final score of Stuttgart vs PSG?

Stuttgart 1-4 PSG in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart vs PSG?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart 29%, draw 30%, PSG 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP More Champions League
29 Jan 2025
23:00 Juventus vs Benfica Analysis →
23:00 Sporting CP vs Bologna Analysis →
23:00 Lille vs Feyenoord Analysis →
23:00 Borussia Dortmund vs Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis →
23:00 Manchester City vs Club Brugge Analysis →
23:00 Brest vs Real Madrid Analysis →