Brest 0-3 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 29 Jan 2025

Brest
0-3 HT 0-1
Real Madrid
📅29/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Champions League – 2024/2025

Brest vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.34
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
51%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.63
Over 2.5
66%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.78
2-3 Goals
35%
2.05
4-5 Goals
31%
2.51
6+ Goals
16%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
14%
10.0
1/2
7%
18.45
1/X
7%
18.5
X/1
8%
13.7
X/2
15%
4.15
X/X
7%
7.82
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.67
2/X
7%
16.55
Value flag · 1/1 at 10.0 — our 14% vs market 6.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
15%
+13.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.6pp
51%
Away Win
66%
-14.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
34%
-0.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
66%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 70%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.03/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.33
+10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 84%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
14.0 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Brest 0-3 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
0-3
AWAY Real Madrid
1.43 xG 2.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
23 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
362 Passes 563
87% Pass Accuracy 91%
20 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brest vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Brest 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Brest had 41% of the ball to Real Madrid's 59%, shots finished 23-14, expected goals 1.43 to 2.60.

What was the final score of Brest vs Real Madrid?

Brest 0-3 Real Madrid in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Brest 29%, draw 20%, Real Madrid 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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