Sporting CP vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting CP v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Sporting CP 1-1 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting CP and Bologna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Sporting CP had 57% of the ball to Bologna's 43%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.29 to 1.14.
What was the final score of Sporting CP vs Bologna?
Sporting CP 1-1 Bologna in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs Bologna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 42%, draw 24%, Bologna 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.