Lille 6-1 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 29 Jan 2025

📅29/01/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 26% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.11
1/2
10%
27.5
1/X
7%
11.9
X/1
14%
5.52
X/2
10%
6.71
X/X
17%
5.2
2/1
7%
23.4
2/2
11%
4.22
2/X
5%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 36%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -47% / -47%
1.21/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.12
+6% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -97% / +33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
9.3 Crosses 15.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
6-1
AWAY Feyenoord
1.32 xG 0.75
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
516 Passes 296
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lille vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille swept aside Feyenoord 6-1. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lille had 62% of the ball to Feyenoord's 38%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.32 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Lille vs Feyenoord?

Lille 6-1 Feyenoord in the Champions League on 29/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lille 41%, draw 29%, Feyenoord 31%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ BTTS Yes
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